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Betting Tips Premier League Round 31: Nice Valuebet with Liverpool


Follow player won for betting suggestions made purely from data. We have written a kick-ass machine learning algorithm that is now generating football predictions. We can’t guarantee that we’re gonna be right with every single prediction, but we should be able to spot the games, where the bookmaker is simply setting the wrong odds.

The Safe Choice: West Ham vs Huddersfield. West Ham to win

West Ham put up a sloppy performance against Cardiff last week, but they're usually performing much better at home than away. West Ham has the upper hand when head to head against Huddersfield winning 2 out of their last 3 encounters. Also, West Ham is way better at getting shots on target then Huddersfield. An average of 5.1 shots on target at home, where Huddersfield is only producing 3,5 shots on target when away.

Key Statistic: When playing teams with the same point average as Huddersfield, West Ham has made an average of 2 points per game.

The Value Bet: Fulham vs Liverpool. Both teams to score

Liverpool for sure is gonna score. An average of 2.2 goals the last 6 games, and even away they're putting in 1.6 goals on average. Fulham isn't scoring a lot of goals, but at home, their record is actually okay with 1.3 goals per game. On top of that the matches between these two teams are usually pretty entertaining with lots of goals, so chances of both teams scoring is definitely good. Our model predicts that everything above odds 1.7 (7/10) is worth a bet, so at the current market level of around 2.0 (1/1) this seems like a good valuebet.

Key Statistic: Fulham has scored in every game when playing at home against Liverpool.

Other predictions

If you need more inspiration, we have other bets, where we think the bookmaker is getting it wrong:

  • Bournemouth vs Newcastle. Draw

  • Fulham vs Liverpool. Liverpool to win

  • Everton vs Chelsea. Both teams to score

  • Everton vs Chelsea. Under 3.5 goals

  • Burnley vs Leicester. Under 3.5 goals

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