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Betting Tips Premier League: Man Utd to beat Liverpool


We’re introducing something new here at player won. We’ve got a fascination with both football and statistics, so we thought we’d combine the two and get something irresistible. We made this state-of-the-art machine learning algorithm and is now generating football predictions purely from data. We can’t guarantee that we’re gonna be right with every single prediction, but we should be able to spot the games, where the bookmaker is simply setting the wrong odds.


The Safe Choice: Burnley vs Tottenham. Under 3.5 goals

This seems like a no brainer. The Burnley defense is looking a lot better now Heaton is back in goal, and a Spurs team without Alli and Kane is just a team scoring fewer goals then usually. We know Kane might be ready in time for kickoff, but still, he’s not gonna be at full strength. If you can get this play for as low as odds 1.3 (3/10), our model predicts that there should be value in it.


Key Statistic: Burnley has conceded only 6 goals in 7 games since Heaton got back in goal.


The Value Bet: Man Utd vs Liverpool. Man Utd to win

Man Utd is in superb form after Solskjær took over. In Premier League they’ve been letting in just 0.67 goals per game and getting 25 points in the process. Liverpool, on the other hand, has struggled a bit lately, and even though they played a very good game against Bournemouth in the last round, we still think that the current odds on Man Utd is way to high. So if you want a bet with some value in it, you should definitely go with Man Utd on this one.


Key Statistic: Man Utd has 8 wins and 1 draw in the last 9 games.


Other predictions

If you need more inspiration, we have other bets, where we think the bookmaker is getting it wrong:

  • Bournemouth vs Wolves. Bournemouth to win

  • Newcastle vs Huddersfield. Under 1.5 goals

  • Arsenal vs Southampton. Arsenal to win

  • Leicester vs Crystal Palace. Over 2.5 goals

  • West Ham vs Fulham. West Ham to win

  • West Ham vs Fulham. Under 3.5 goals


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